Are Food-Borne Illnesses Declining, Increasing Or Holding Firm?

The answer, I suppose, depends upon who you ask.

With increased population, improved governmental outbreak surveillance, expanding media coverage, more public awareness, better attentiveness by healthcare professionals and increased frequency (along with substantial improvements) in testing, we might be justified to expect that the numbers of confirmed food-borne illnesses would be climbing like an uncontrolled fever. Nevertheless, according to a recent report issued by the CDC, the incidence of food-borne illnesses over the last three years has actually hit a “plateau.”

The findings are from 2008 data reported by FoodNet, a collaborative project of CDC, FSIS, the FDA and 10 separate states. Click on the following link for a copy of the CDC Report. According to CDC findings, incidence rates in 2008 for Campylobacter, Listeria, E. coli O157:H7, Salmonella, Shigella and other pathogens did not change significantly when compared to the previous three years (2005-2007). Moreover, significant declines since 1996 were reported in the incidence rates involving numerous, other food-borne infections.

Despite these findings, Robert Tauxe, deputy director of CDC's Division of Food-borne, Bacterial and Mycotic Diseases, suggested that we may have “reached a plateau in the prevention of food-borne disease.” In turn, David Goldman, assistant administrator of FSIS, indicated he was “concerned about the lack of progress in reducing the incidence of food-borne illness."  Click on the following link to learn how food-borne illnesses are tracked.

Has prevention really hit a plateau? Or, could the total number of illnesses be falling? Despite dozens of feverish outbreaks (and thousands of reported illnesses) recently associated with a long list of previously never-mentioned foods (such as produce, pot pies and peanut butter), the numbers of most food-borne illnesses (according to the CDC) have been holding firm. Although it might be easy to interpret such studies at face value, the real answer (lurking somewhere in the report’s constituent ingredients) might be far more complex.

Many will admit that, in years past, given considerable limitations in surveillance, testing and reporting, a large percentage of total illnesses simply went unreported. Given better public awareness and recent strides in our ability to detect and identify a greater number of food-borne illnesses and outbreaks, the lack of any perceivable increase in the CDC numbers could actually – in my humble view – represent a decline in total cases.

So, are food-borne illnesses declining, increasing or holding firm? While I doubt (and, there is no evidence) that the incidence rates for food-borne illness are on the rise, there are plenty of reasons to believe that we may have started – at the very least – to get this fever under control.